Thursday, September 29, 2011

Chennai Corporation Elections - Mayor candidates

As expected DMK has retained the present Mayor Subramaniam as its Chennai corporation candidate. Given the circumstances, though he is the best choice for DMK, he has to fight hard on several factors -

1.Being the sitting Mayor, he has to face the anti-establishement wave.
2.He is not charismatic enough to fight against the calibre of Saidai Duraiswamy of AIADMK. (Subramani is a councillor who got elected as a mayor and not a direct-elect-mayor)
3.Has to fight against the ruling party might - DMK has less MLA's in the city when compared with AIADMK.

Some of the advantages

1. With Congress,PMK,MDMK and DMDK also in the fray, the split of votes might favor DMK.
2. The disappointment of middle class electorate with the Govt with respect to the uniform education system.
3. Traditional DMK vote bank.

It will be a close race, DMK can win if they do grassroots level hard work, especially in the lost assembly constituencies. PMK's A.K.Moorthy, a former central minister is also a good candidate, who can get a good chunk of votes. Need to see whose votes he is going to split. But as on today AIADMK is ahead based on the ruling party might and the candidates image.

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Tamilnadu Local body elections

As usual AIADMK has announced its candidates early for the TN Local body elections and already has a headstart. Based on the reputation of the candidates atleast on three corpoarations AIADMK has already an advantage.

Chennai - Saidai Duraiswamy
Madurai - Rajan Chellapa
Coimbatore - Velusamy

I will boldly predict Madurai and Coimbatore will be won by AIADMK. In Chennai also AIADMK can win if the opposition (DMK) candidate is weak. The two candidates who can give fight to Saidai Duraiswamy is the present mayor M.Subramanim and former minister Paruthi Ilamvazhuthi. Any one with lesser stature means easy victory for AIADMK.

Some of the Municipality Chairman AIADMK candidates also looks strong. So even without the help of alliance partners we can see AIADMK romping home

But if DMK puts its house in order and if they are energized and motivated by either Kalaignar or Stalin, we can expect a good fight.(If kanimozhi is released sooner it will be a tonic for them). Otherwise it is going to be one-sided fight.

Sunday, September 18, 2011

Writing in HubPages too

Have started writing in Hubpages - a content article writing site. Check out at http://msivakumar.hubpages.com/.

Will continue writing here also. Meanhile you can check few articles which I have written in HubPages